Plan Refinement & Other Considerations

This plan is presently in the concept stage. It must undergo several revisions to flesh out the detail, review concepts and correct deficiencies & problems before it is suitable for use. A better definition of the impact hazards will be needed. Answers will come from modeling data generated using state-of-the-art computers. The proposed shelter constructions should undergo a phase of test and evaluation to ensure that the proposals are doable, to fill in the voids and to evaluate the survivability of the shelters

Smaller impacters, such as those in the range of 0.6 miles in diameter, can cause great devastation in the location of the impact but minimal primary damage throughout the rest of the world. The comet fragment or asteroid may not even be detected prior to impact. As it hits the Earth, it will trip off the earthquake seismic equipment, which should provide a location and time of the impact event. Large volumes of debris will be ejected into the atmosphere. The finer dust particles in the stratosphere will deflect a portion of the sunlight and lower the Earth’s temperature by a few degrees for several years. This will produce very cold winters and short cold summers that will disrupt grain production. This will lead to crop failures, which in turn will lead to starvation & civil unrest. A malnourished and weakened population will open the door to plagues of sickness and disease. The cometary impact secondary effects could result in the death of one to two billion people for an impacter 0.6 miles in diameter.

Long-term grain storage in room ambient conditions is a key to minimizing impact secondary damage. One of the items available on the market today is a 55-gallon plastic drum designed for water storage. These drums could instead be used for grain storage. It may even be possible to modify these drums to create a partial vacuum in order to extend the shelf life of the grain.

Conceptually, there is another device capable of destroying a large comet, a Star Device. At present, it is not even on anyone's radar screen.

It is difficult to construct an effective plan to survive a large comet/meteor impact without an accurate model of the threats involved. The plan provided within this website is based on the stated threats described by the experts in the field. But I also feel I would be negligent if I failed to interject my personal perspective on the impact threat. There are three points that should be considered in performing a threat analysis:

1. Predicting effects and the magnitude of these effects are theoretical. It is based on the laws of physics and interpretations of geological evidence. The predictions are not based on direct observations. As a result, an uncertainty factor exists. At the present time, this uncertainty factor is rather large.

2. The destruction caused by a comet or asteroid impact is the sum from all the individual effects. No single effect (such as "impact winter") should be the primary focus excluding all other threats.

3. The effects are interactive and interrelated. Failure to understand and factor in strong relationships can result in erroneous modeling of the impact event.

Final Thought: When we realize that a large comet or meteor is on a collision course with Earth, there will not be sufficient time to mitigate (destroy/deflect) the comet. There will not be time to hold conferences, have debates and develop plans. (Planning should have logically taken place prior to detection.) There will only be enough time to act swiftly, to implement a plan, and to trip off one of the greatest scavenger hunts of all times. This event will challenge human ingenuity, cooperation and human endurance. And in the dark of the night, it will also require some prayers.

NEXT | PREVIOUS | OUTLINE | HOME